SUMMARY
While technology shares rallied sharply this past week, the sector won’t be immune to economic weakness like it was in the COVID recession of 2020.
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Learn more about In ViewHelpOnline securityPlease be advised that verbal and written communication from Citi may be in English as we may not be able to provide servicing related communications in all languages. These communications may include, but are not limited to, account agreements, statements and disclosures, change in terms or fees; or any servicing of your account. If you need assistance in a language other than English, please contact us as we have language services that may be of assistance to you.
Por favor, tenga en cuenta que las comunicaciones verbales y escritas de Citi podrían redactarse únicamente en inglés, ya que, tal vez, no podamos proporcionar comunicaciones relacionadas con los servicios en todos los idiomas. Estas comunicaciones podrían incluir, entre otras, contratos, divulgaciones y estados de cuenta, cambios en los términos o en los cargos, así como cualquier documento de mantenimiento de su cuenta. Si necesita ayuda en un idioma distinto al inglés, por favor, comuníquese con nosotros, ya que tenemos servicios de idiomas que podrían serle útiles.
Informamos que as comunicações verbais e por escrito do Citi podem estar em inglês, pois talvez não possamos fornecer comunicações relacionadas a serviços em todos os idiomas. Essas comunicações podem incluir, mas não estão limitadas a, acordos de contas, declarações e divulgações, mudanças nos termos ou taxas; ou qualquer serviço de sua conta. Se você precisar de ajuda em um idioma diferente do inglês, entre em contato conosco, pois temos serviços de idiomas que podem ser úteis para você.
请注意,花旗集团可能使用英文进行口头和书面通信,因为我们可能无法以所有语言提供与服务相关的通信。这些通信可能包括但不限于账户协议、账单与披露声明、条款或费用变更,或为您账户提供的任何服务。如果您需要英文以外的其他语言的帮助,请与我们联系,因为我们提供可能对您有帮助的语言服务。
Please be advised that verbal and written communication from Citi may be in English as we may not be able to provide servicing related communications in all languages. These communications may include, but are not limited to, account agreements, statements and disclosures, change in terms or fees; or any servicing of your account. If you need assistance in a language other than English, please contact us as we have language services that may be of assistance to you.
Por favor, tenga en cuenta que las comunicaciones verbales y escritas de Citi podrían redactarse únicamente en inglés, ya que, tal vez, no podamos proporcionar comunicaciones relacionadas con los servicios en todos los idiomas. Estas comunicaciones podrían incluir, entre otras, contratos, divulgaciones y estados de cuenta, cambios en los términos o en los cargos, así como cualquier documento de mantenimiento de su cuenta. Si necesita ayuda en un idioma distinto al inglés, por favor, comuníquese con nosotros, ya que tenemos servicios de idiomas que podrían serle útiles.
Informamos que as comunicações verbais e por escrito do Citi podem estar em inglês, pois talvez não possamos fornecer comunicações relacionadas a serviços em todos os idiomas. Essas comunicações podem incluir, mas não estão limitadas a, acordos de contas, declarações e divulgações, mudanças nos termos ou taxas; ou qualquer serviço de sua conta. Se você precisar de ajuda em um idioma diferente do inglês, entre em contato conosco, pois temos serviços de idiomas que podem ser úteis para você.
请注意,花旗集团可能使用英文进行口头和书面通信,因为我们可能无法以所有语言提供与服务相关的通信。这些通信可能包括但不限于账户协议、账单与披露声明、条款或费用变更,或为您账户提供的任何服务。如果您需要英文以外的其他语言的帮助,请与我们联系,因为我们提供可能对您有帮助的语言服务。
While technology shares rallied sharply this past week, the sector won’t be immune to economic weakness like it was in the COVID recession of 2020.
The Fed will likely maintain higher rates until unemployment rises, further adding pressure to tech shares in the coming six months. This does nothing to dissuade us from a bullish view of key tech developments for the longer term.
None of the 72 economists who participated in the Bloomberg consensus poll won the $2 billion Powerball lottery this week and none had forecast headline inflation to be just 0.4% month over month. With bearish sentiment at highs, this better-than-expected news caused a highly correlated move higher for all risk assets.
We acknowledge that valuations reflect new, higher capital costs and more conservative growth estimates, but immediate increases in profits and dividends are unlikely. After this 3Q reporting season, it is clear that tech won’t be spared from this particular downturn.
We now see tech valuations that are much closer to longer-run averages. While we expect interest rates to fall later in 2023, a challenging earnings backdrop is likely to initially offset some modest re-rating toward higher PE tech multiples in 2023.
We continue to prefer quality names with less economic sensitivity, which in practice means a bias toward profitable tech over unprofitable moonshots.
Despite a challenging year and an uncertain outlook into 2023, we still believe many technology firms will be leaders in the digital revolution of the next decade. Indeed, these technologies are becoming ever more deeply embedded in how we live and work.
In the years ahead, we expect intensifying innovation driven by well-funded research and development. And we believe that businesses will either have to embrace new technologies and processes or face extinction. We therefore would view any further volatility in tech shares over the coming year as an opportunity to build positions for the long run.
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