SUMMARY
There are many reasons why market timing is the wrong strategy in a period of high event risk. We believe it’s prudent to “mind the gap” by seeking to maintain an up-in-quality bias in both equities and fixed income.
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Learn more about In ViewHelpOnline securityPlease be advised that verbal and written communication from Citi may be in English as we may not be able to provide servicing related communications in all languages. These communications may include, but are not limited to, account agreements, statements and disclosures, change in terms or fees; or any servicing of your account. If you need assistance in a language other than English, please contact us as we have language services that may be of assistance to you.
Por favor, tenga en cuenta que las comunicaciones verbales y escritas de Citi podrían redactarse únicamente en inglés, ya que, tal vez, no podamos proporcionar comunicaciones relacionadas con los servicios en todos los idiomas. Estas comunicaciones podrían incluir, entre otras, contratos, divulgaciones y estados de cuenta, cambios en los términos o en los cargos, así como cualquier documento de mantenimiento de su cuenta. Si necesita ayuda en un idioma distinto al inglés, por favor, comuníquese con nosotros, ya que tenemos servicios de idiomas que podrían serle útiles.
Informamos que as comunicações verbais e por escrito do Citi podem estar em inglês, pois talvez não possamos fornecer comunicações relacionadas a serviços em todos os idiomas. Essas comunicações podem incluir, mas não estão limitadas a, acordos de contas, declarações e divulgações, mudanças nos termos ou taxas; ou qualquer serviço de sua conta. Se você precisar de ajuda em um idioma diferente do inglês, entre em contato conosco, pois temos serviços de idiomas que podem ser úteis para você.
请注意,花旗集团可能使用英文进行口头和书面通信,因为我们可能无法以所有语言提供与服务相关的通信。这些通信可能包括但不限于账户协议、账单与披露声明、条款或费用变更,或为您账户提供的任何服务。如果您需要英文以外的其他语言的帮助,请与我们联系,因为我们提供可能对您有帮助的语言服务。
Please be advised that verbal and written communication from Citi may be in English as we may not be able to provide servicing related communications in all languages. These communications may include, but are not limited to, account agreements, statements and disclosures, change in terms or fees; or any servicing of your account. If you need assistance in a language other than English, please contact us as we have language services that may be of assistance to you.
Por favor, tenga en cuenta que las comunicaciones verbales y escritas de Citi podrían redactarse únicamente en inglés, ya que, tal vez, no podamos proporcionar comunicaciones relacionadas con los servicios en todos los idiomas. Estas comunicaciones podrían incluir, entre otras, contratos, divulgaciones y estados de cuenta, cambios en los términos o en los cargos, así como cualquier documento de mantenimiento de su cuenta. Si necesita ayuda en un idioma distinto al inglés, por favor, comuníquese con nosotros, ya que tenemos servicios de idiomas que podrían serle útiles.
Informamos que as comunicações verbais e por escrito do Citi podem estar em inglês, pois talvez não possamos fornecer comunicações relacionadas a serviços em todos os idiomas. Essas comunicações podem incluir, mas não estão limitadas a, acordos de contas, declarações e divulgações, mudanças nos termos ou taxas; ou qualquer serviço de sua conta. Se você precisar de ajuda em um idioma diferente do inglês, entre em contato conosco, pois temos serviços de idiomas que podem ser úteis para você.
请注意,花旗集团可能使用英文进行口头和书面通信,因为我们可能无法以所有语言提供与服务相关的通信。这些通信可能包括但不限于账户协议、账单与披露声明、条款或费用变更,或为您账户提供的任何服务。如果您需要英文以外的其他语言的帮助,请与我们联系,因为我们提供可能对您有帮助的语言服务。
There are many reasons why market timing is the wrong strategy in a period of high event risk. We believe it’s prudent to “mind the gap” by seeking to maintain an up-in-quality bias in both equities and fixed income.
The three consecutive 75-basis-point rate hikes are the Fed’s fastest hikes ever and the largest increases since 1980. The forward curve suggests a further 125bps to come. Comparable to highway accident data, higher speeds and larger rate hikes combine to increase the probability and magnitude of negative consequences.
The Fed is likely to sustain its hawkish measures to crush inflation with limited regard for the time it takes for its medicine to work, likely damaging some markets along the way.
By openly encouraging lower asset prices, whether in housing, equities or foreign currencies, the Fed is leading market participants to become extremely defensive. That defensiveness can not only reduce liquidity and increase volatility, it can change investor behaviors and create negative feedback loops.
The Fed’s determined actions and the continued resiliency of both inflation and US employment growth do not bode well for equity markets in the near term. Remember, historically US equity markets have never bottomed before a recession has even begun – and one hasn’t.
Ultimately, a fall in employment sometime in 2023 is likely to see the Fed suspend its fight against inflation. As we’ve pointed out before, in seven Fed tightening cycles since 1980, the Fed has sustained its maximum policy rate for only seven months on average before cutting rates.
The fruits of long-term economic growth can only be earned in time through patient exposure to innovative companies. So too, must one be patient as the economy works through a difficult period for inflation and monetary policy.
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To help put you in touch with the right Private Bank team, please answer the following questions.
Our services have a minimum investment level of $5 million.
Based on the information provided, we believe that a Citigold relationship may be most appropriate for your needs.
To find out more: Visit Citigold
Our services have a minimum investment level of $5 million.
Based on the information provided, we believe that a Citigold relationship may be most appropriate for your needs.
To find out more: Visit Citigold
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