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Exploiting mean reversion

COVID-19 has caused huge – but temporary – economic and financial market disruption.

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Winding road through green forest

Many assets’ valuations and the relationships between them have strayed far from their long-term average or “mean.”

We believe the distortions to asset price valuations will unwind in 2021 as COVID-19 departs.

Amid this “reversion to the mean,” we expect certain areas to be major beneficiaries.

These include certain sectors hit hard by COVID-19, small-cap equities, and some of the most beaten-down national and regional markets.

After the most significant dispersion of asset prices in history, exploiting this mean reversion will be crucial to your portfolio’s return opportunities in 2021.

Download exploiting mean reversion summary report

Findings & Opportunities

Outlook 2021 Findings & Opportunities summary brochure is available in five languages

Outlook 2021 themes

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Mid-Year Outlook 2021
Mid-Year Outlook 2021 examines our exit from the pandemic, what lies beyond and highlights assets that still offer recovery potential even after the strong rally of the last year. 
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Overcoming financial repression
“Financial repression” involves keeping interest rates artificially low while allowing inflation to erode the real value of bonds and cash.
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Unstoppable trends
We present two additional unstoppable trends to which we recommend having exposure for 2021 and beyond.
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Investment
Investments
Global investment opportunities across asset classes via capital markets strategies, discretionary portfolios, and third-party managers.
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Meet the team

Outlook is created by a team of individuals with a depth of experience from across the Private Bank.

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