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Dividend growers have been solid performers with below-market volatility – desirable traits in an era of single-digit returns with occasional bouts of volatility. The Fed’s latest rate projections (“the dot plot”) call for three increases in 2018 and 2019. Absent significant events, the GIC believes the Fed could lift rates quarterly as it normalizes policy. The case for disciplined capital allocation just got more interesting. Profit margins were already high, but now US firms are paying lower taxes, shifting to a territorial tax system and weighing increased tax incentives to invest between now and 2023.

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